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class="container"> <div class="row"> <header class="col-xs-12 text-center"> <h1>免费永久精选wwwwwww</h1> 添加时间：<time>2025/4/24 19:25:10</time> </header> </div> <div id="context" class="row"> <div class="col-xs-12 text-center thumbnail" style="text-align:left"> <p style='text-align:center'><img src="/Uploads/201712/30/10/07/88f8a04125424df186cb87c0e74289a7.jpg"/></p><p>939200 | MSCI JAPAN | GBP939200 | MSCI JAPAN | DKK939200 | MSCI JAPAN | CHF709363 | MSCI JAPAN DIVIDEND MASTERS | USD709363 | MSCI JAPAN DIVIDEND MASTERS | JPY</p><p>2．牛市第2阶段的盈利接力暂时有难度冷静分析3月数据：一季度领先指标企稳回升，同步指标回落。行情走到目前这个位置牛市第一阶段的纯粹估值修复已经很可观，市场进一步上涨需要基本面接力，即能否顺利进入牛市第二阶段。4月12日周五公布了部分3月经济金融数据，数据大超市场预期，如3月社会融资规模增量为2.86万亿元，预期1.85万亿元，前值7029万亿；3月出口（以美元计）同比增14.2%，预期增6.5%，前值降20.7%；3月中汽协口径汽车销量同比降5.2%，前值降13.8%。基本面是否就此见底回升了？我们认为，3月份的数据要冷静看待。去年春节在2月16日，今年春节在2月5日，去年3月份因为开工晚，基数会较低，因此今年超预期的数据包含着春节错位的影响。为了剔除“春节效应”，我们将一季度数据合并看：社融存量3月同比增速为10.7%，2月存量同比为10.08%，看起来回升幅度较大，但是考虑到春节因素的影响，对比去年12月社融存量增速见底时的10.4%，一季度社融数据只是温和恢复；以美元计算的出口金额1-3月累计同比增速1.4%，去年全年9.9%，进口金额1-3月累计同比增速-4.8%，去年全年-3.2%，进出口其实还在走弱；中汽协口径下1-3月汽车销量同比增速-11.3%，去年12月-13.0%，汽车销量也只是跌幅小幅收窄。此外，上市公司一季报已经有预告数据，我们在《中小创利润同比依旧负增长——19年一季报预告分析-20190411》中分析了，中小板19Q1业绩预告披露率为46.8%，可比口径下中小板的业绩依旧在下滑，19Q1中小板全体（不含券商，下同）归母净利累计同比为-31.3%，18Q4/18Q3为-26.1%/6.9%，19Q1创业板全体归母净利累计同比为-13.2%，18Q4/18Q3为-54.8%/1.4%，需要注意的是创业板一季度利润下滑速度比18年年报大幅收窄，源于年报业绩包含商誉减值而季报不包括。整体而言，一季度社融代表的领先指标已经企稳回升，力度温和，而出口、企业利润等同步指标仍在回落。</p><p>664567 | MSCI EUROPE IMI/HEALTH CARE | EUR664564 | MSCI EUROPE IMI/INDUSTRIALS | EUR664569 | MSCI EUROPE IMI/INFORMATION TECH | EUR</p><p>110238 | MSCI ACWI exUSA/UTILITIES | USD703557 | MSCI ACWI for MEXICAN AFORES | MXN106753 | MSCI ACWI/COMM SVC | USD106748 | MSCI ACWI/CONSUMER DISCR | USD</p><p>105766 | MSCI EGYPT | USD105766 | MSCI EGYPT | EUR664219 | MSCI EGYPT IMI | USD891800 | MSCI EM (EMERGING MARKETS) | USD</p><p>655951 | MSCI ACWI exUSA SMALL/COMM SVC | USD655946 | MSCI ACWI exUSA SMALL/CONSUMER DISCR | USD655947 | MSCI ACWI exUSA SMALL/CONSUMER STAPLES | USD</p> </div> </div> <div class="row" style="text-align:center"> <ul class="pagination"> </ul> </div> <div class="container"> <ul class="pager"> <li class="previous"> <a href='/Article3915.html'>水电弃水电量有所增加1-6月主要流域总弃水电量约38.5亿千</a> </li> <li class="next"> <a href='/Article3913.html'>653216 | MSCI WRLD M</a> </li> </ul> </div> <section id="list" class="panel panel-primary container"> <div class="panel-heading row"> <h3 class="panel-title col-xs-12">随机推荐</h3> </div> <div class="panel-body row"> <article class="col-xs-6"> <a target="_blank" 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